PAVE Forecast Support
Code 7646, Middle Atmosphere Dynamics
Naval Research Laboratory: Washington, DC

The Polar AURA Validation Experiment (PAVE) mission commenced with local DC8 test flights on 13 January 2005. Science flights continued from 24 January through 9 February 2005. NRL Forecast products that supported DC8 flight planning for the PAVE mission are listed below. Contact Stephen Eckermann (stephen.eckermann@nrl.navy.mil: +1-202-404-1299) if you have any questions or requests.

Core NRL Code 7646 Forecast Products for PAVE

Other Forecast Pages of Interest....

Test NRL Code 7646 Forecast Products for PAVE

Forecast Summary for the latest "version a" flight path of Wednesday 9 February
(last updated Wednesday 9 February at 15:05 EST):                   archive

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Wednesday 9 February: For transit, stratospheric cold pool in +24 hour ECMWF forecasts retreats poleward and eastward from Monday's equatorward excursion. Operational NOGAPS forecasts initialized 7 Feb at 00Z show 60 hour forecast stratospheric temperatures (valid 9 Feb 12Z) increasing at 30 hPa, 50 hPa, and 70 hPa over western CONUS. This warm sector includes western segment of transcontinental flight path (points 2-3) as well as the north-south along-track MLS path (points 3-4), according to preliminary flight plan. +24-hour ECMWF 30 hPa ozone mixing ratio forecasts valid 7 Feb 12Z indicate values increasing steadily westward along east-west portion of planned flight track (points 2-3).
       Stratospheric mountain waves are forecast by MWFM at +12 hours to remain intense over the southern tip of Greenland, and with moderate activity spread across the northwest coast of Canada. Big waves are also seen here in the EC divergence fields. Near northwestern Canada there might be light mountain wave turbulence at cruise altitude.

Additional Related NRL Links......

Code 7646: Middle Atmosphere Dynamics

Code 7640: Upper Atmospheric Physics

Code 7532: Global Modeling (NOGAPS)

Code 7600: Space Science Division

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