Mountain Wave Forecast Model

 

Continental USA
(stopped 26 February 2004)

  26 February 2004: NRL has terminated all funding for the MWFM 6.2 research and validation project. Consequently, due to staff cuts we are no longer able to provide operational twice-daily troposphere-stratosphere mountain wave forecasts for the sectors indicated below or to continue validation work with associated colleagues at various centers. We will continue to provide forecasts on a campaign basis for contract customers, such as NASA scientists involved in this summer's MidCiX campaign. We will also continue our R&D efforts at a reduced level focusing more on science and related issues.  

IMPORTANT: You must read the following disclaimer and security notices before proceeding. Subsequent use of the forecasts on this web page constitutes an agreement on your part to these terms and conditions: Disclaimer Notice
Security Notice
Global view of the regional sector and plotting projection used for the MWFM 2.0 USA forecasts
ellyell.gif (97 bytes) CONTACT
Steve Eckermann: eckerman@uap2.nrl.navy.mil..
ellblue.gif (97 bytes) EXPLANATION AND BACKGROUND
Click on the hyperlink above (or here) for background information on these forecast plots
ellyell.gif (97 bytes) LATEST NEWS
Click here for the latest news on these and other MWFM forecasts.....
When viewing forecast plots, remember to click the Refresh/Reload button on your browser to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast map, and not an old cached version on your local machine. If in doubt, check the dates on the forecast map.

All Forecasts are valid at 12:00 UT on the day in question
 
NCEP forecast job runs at ~03:30 EST, 05:30 EST each day, as currently only the NCEP MRF forecasts are being accessed.
NOGAPS forecast job runs twice daily runs at  ~06:40 EST and ~1840 EST, utilizing the NOGAPS 0Z and 12Z forecast update cycles, respectively. You can keep track of today's MWFM-NOGAPS forecast runs by checking the new logfile.


Peak Vertical Displacement Amplitudes at 400 hPathe 700 hectapascal pressure level corresponds to an altitude of ~8,500 feet (flight level 85), or ~2.5 kilometers.

Forecast

0/12 hour 24/36 hour 48/60 hour 72/84 hour 96/108 hour

NCEP


WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

NOGAPS


WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

Peak Vertical Displacement Amplitudes at 400 hPathe 400 hectapascal pressure level corresponds to an altitude of ~21,000 feet (flight level 210), or ~6.4 kilometers.

Forecast

0/12 hour 24/36 hour 48/60 hour 72/84 hour 96/108 hour

NCEP


WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

NOGAPS


WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

Peak Vertical Displacement Amplitudes at 250 hPathe 250 hectapascal pressure level corresponds to an altitude of ~32,000 feet (flight level 320), or ~9.7 kilometers.

Forecast

0/12 hour 24/36 hour 48/60 hour 72/84 hour 96/108 hour

NCEP


WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

NOGAPS


WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

 

Mountain Wave Turbulence Potential at 300-400 hPa the 400-300 hPa interval corresponds to altitudes of  ~21,000-27,000 feet (flight levels 210-270). Test phase product.....

Forecast

0/12 hour 24/36 hour 48/60 hour 72/84 hour 96/108 hour

NCEP


WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

NOGAPS


WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

 

Mountain Wave Turbulence Potential at 250-200 hPathe 250-200 hectapascal pressure interval corresponds to altitudes of  ~32,000-37,000 feet (flight levels 320-370) or ~9.7-11.3 km.

Forecast

0/12 hour 24/36 hour 48/60 hour 72/84 hour 96/108 hour

NCEP


WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

NOGAPS


WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

WUSA EUSA
WUSA EUSA
MWFM-2.1

 

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