Mountain Wave Forecast Model

MidCiX Mission Forecasts
(activated 1 April 2004; completed May 8 2004)


IMPORTANT: You must read the following disclaimer and security notices before proceeding (temporarily disable your pop-up ad blocking to view these notice pages, or else click here and here). Subsequent use of the forecasts on this web page constitutes an agreement on your part to these terms and conditions: Disclaimer Notice
Security Notice
Note: Forecasts provide information on mountain wave-induced turbulence only, not other sources of turbulence (e.g., severe weather/convection and jet streaming)
- Click here for all of the NRL Code 7646 MidCiX Forecasts: e.g., new 3DLOM forecasts & experimental Fourier-ray
- Click here for the latest MWFM MidCiX FORECAST SUMMARY: (Last updated Wednesday, May 5 at 1820 EST)
- Click here to access archived MWFM forecasts from earlier mission days
- Click here for a some background on navigating and interpreting these MWFM forecast maps.
Contact: Steve Eckermann: stephen.eckermann@nrl.navy.mil; (202) 404-1299; FAX: (202) 404-8090
When viewing this page as well as each forecast plot map, remember to click the Refresh/Reload button on your browser to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast map, and not an old cached version on your local machine. If in doubt, check the dates and forecast hours on the forecast map, located on the top right side of each plot.

The Latest MWFM MidCiX Forecasts

All Forecasts are valid at 12:00 UT on the day in question

  •  NCEP GFS  and NCEP ETA forecast jobs run four times daily at ~01:00 EST, ~07:00 EST, ~13:00 EST, and  19:00 EST, acquiring the 0, 6, 12 and 18Z initialized forecast cycles, respectively, directly from NCEP.
  • The NOGAPS forecast job runs twice daily runs at  ~09:00 EST and ~21:00 EST, utilizing the NOGAPS 0Z and 12Z FNMOC forecast update cycles, respectively. You can keep track of today's MWFM-NOGAPS forecast runs by checking the logfile.
  • Turbulence Intensities  400-300 hPa (~FL220-300)

    for each forecast map, always  click the Refresh/Reload button to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast...

    Forecast

    0/6/12/18 hour 24/30/36/42 hour 48/54/60/66 hour 72/78/84/90 hour 96/102/108/114 hour

    NCEP GFS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    NCEP ETA


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1
    N/A

    NOGAPS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    Turbulence Intensities  300-250 hPa (~FL300-340)

    for each forecast map, always  click the Refresh/Reload button to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast...

    Forecast

    0/6/12/18 hour 24/30/36/42 hour 48/54/60/66 hour 72/78/84/90 hour 96/102/108/114 hour

    NCEP GFS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    NCEP ETA


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1
    N/A

    NOGAPS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    Turbulence Intensities  250-200 hPa (~FL340-390)

    for each forecast map, always  click the Refresh/Reload button to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast...

    Forecast

    0/6/12/18 hour 24/30/36/42 hour 48/54/60/66 hour 72/78/84/90 hour 96/102/108/114 hour

    NCEP GFS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    NCEP ETA


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1
    N/A

    NOGAPS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    Turbulence Intensities  200-150 hPa (~FL390-450)

    for each forecast map, always  click the Refresh/Reload button to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast...

    Forecast

    0/6/12/18 hour 24/30/36/42 hour 48/54/60/66 hour 72/78/84/90 hour 96/102/108/114 hour

    NCEP GFS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    NCEP ETA


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1
    N/A

    NOGAPS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    Mountain Wave Vertical Displacement Amplitudes  250 hPa (~FL340)

    for each forecast map, always  click the Refresh/Reload button to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast...

    Forecast

    0/6/12/18 hour 24/30/36/42 hour 48/54/60/66 hour 72/78/84/90 hour 96/102/108/114 hour

    NCEP GFS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    NCEP ETA


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1
    N/A

    NOGAPS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    Mountain Wave Temperature Amplitudes  250 hPa (~FL340)

    for each forecast map, always  click the Refresh/Reload button to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast...

    Forecast

    0/6/12/18 hour 24/30/36/42 hour 48/54/60/66 hour 72/78/84/90 hour 96/102/108/114 hour

    NCEP GFS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    NCEP ETA


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1
    N/A

    NOGAPS


    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    MWFM1.1 (blk)
    MWFM-2.1

    Archived MWFM MidCiX Forecasts: April 1, 2004 to May 15, 2004

    1 Apr, 2 Apr, 3 Apr, 4 Apr, 5 Apr, 6 Apr, 7 Apr, 8 Apr, 9 Apr, 10 Apr, 11 Apr, 12 Apr, 13 Apr, 14 Apr, 15 Apr, 16 Apr, 17 Apr, 18 Apr, 19 Apr, 20 Apr, 21 Apr, 22 Apr, 23 Apr, 24 Apr, 25 Apr, 26 Apr, 27 Apr, 28 Apr, 29 Apr, 30 Apr, 1 May, 2 May, 3 May, 4 May, 5 May, 6 May, 7 May, 8 May, 9 May, 10 May, 11 May, 12 May, 13 May, 14 May, 15 May, 16 May, 17 May, 18 May, 19 May, 20 May

    You can move from here to......

    ellyell.gif (97 bytes) MWFM Forecasts Page
    ellblue.gif (97 bytes) MWFM Contents Page
    ellyell.gif (97 bytes) Middle Atmosphere Dynamics (Code 7646)
    ellblue.gif (97 bytes) Upper Atmospheric Physics (Code 7640)

    Naval Research Laboratory