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Tropospheric Forecasts:
Punta Arenas, Chile |
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Tropospheric Forecasts:
Punta Arenas, Chile |
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LATEST MWFM FORECAST SUMMARY (Eckermann, 23 March, 1100EST): Synoptic Overview → MWFM-NOGAPS and MWFM-GFS forecasts show persistent eastward flow over southern South America out to the 25th and beyond, and weak winds over the Palmer Peninsula. A low pressure cell produces southward winds over the Palmer Peninsula on the 24th., backing to weak westward flow on 26th. as the low moves eastward. 23 March → No significant turbulence except perhaps some light turbulence on the southernmost tip of South America at FL~230-300. 24 March → Light-moderate turbulence over Palmer Peninsula. 25 March → Moderate turbulence over regions of the Palmer Peninsula at FL~220-400 as flow backs during this period. Possible moderate turbulence over west coast of central Chile at high flight levels ~FL400-450. When viewing this page as well as each forecast plot map, remember to click the Refresh/Reload button on your browser to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast map, and not an old cached version on your local machine. If in doubt, check the dates and forecast hours on the forecast map, located on the top right side of each plot. |
All Forecasts are valid at 12:00 UT on the day in question An NCEP GFS forecast job runs at ~01:00 EST, and 13:00 EST each day, acquiring the 0Z and 12Z initialized forecast cycles of the NCEP GFS model directly from NCEP. The NOGAPS forecast job runs twice daily runs at ~10:00 EST and ~22:00 EST, utilizing the NOGAPS 0Z and 12Z FNMOC forecast update cycles, respectively. You can keep track of today's MWFM-NOGAPS forecast runs by checking the logfile. |
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Turbulence Intensities 400-300 hPa (~FL220-300) |
for each forecast map, always click the Refresh/Reload button to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast... |
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Turbulence Intensities 300-250 hPa (~FL300-340) |
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Turbulence Intensities 250-200 hPa (~FL340-390) |
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Turbulence Intensities 200-150 hPa (~FL390-450) |
for each forecast map, always click the Refresh/Reload button to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast... |
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Mountain Wave Vertical Displacement Amplitudes 250 hPa (~FL340) |
for each forecast map, always click the Refresh/Reload button to make sure you are viewing the latest forecast... |
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